Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Vegas Lights v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Las Vegas Lights 2-1 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights shaded a tight game against Sacramento Republic 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Las Vegas Lights found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
Under the surface, Las Vegas Lights had 64% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 36%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.80 to 1.33 — by the quality of chances, Sacramento Republic deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.50 for Sacramento Republic.
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Result & Final Score
Las Vegas Lights 2 - 1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Vegas Lights vs Sacramento Republic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 34%, draw 28%, Sacramento Republic 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5 went the other way.