Rhode Island 2-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 25% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.69/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.88
-16% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
25.1 Crosses 13.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
2-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.45 xG 0.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
325 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
55 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island edged past FC Tulsa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 57% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 43%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.45 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rhode Island's control.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs FC Tulsa?

Rhode Island 2-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 57%, draw 23%, FC Tulsa 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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