Hartford Athletic 2-0 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +25%
1.57/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.24
+18% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.5 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 2.24
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
300 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-2 HT 0-2 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
09.10.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-3 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
2-0
AWAY Oakland Roots
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic saw off Oakland Roots 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Hartford Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 50% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.00 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Oakland Roots?

Hartford Athletic 2-0 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 39%, draw 28%, Oakland Roots 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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