Charleston Battery 3-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 28% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.47/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.14
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.6 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 348
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 HT 1-2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
13.04.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
26.03.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-0 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
11.09.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
19.06.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
08.10.2021 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 HT 2-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
3-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.10 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
419 Passes 299
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery got the better of Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 58% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 42%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.10 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.83 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Charleston Battery 3-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 45%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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