Monterey Bay 0-0 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Sep 2024

Monterey Bay
0-0 HT 0-0
Orange County SC
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
USL Championship – 2024

Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monterey Bay v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.24
-15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.7 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Orange County SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
339 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.10.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
02.07.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-1 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
08.09.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
10.07.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP

Monterey Bay 0-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
0-0
AWAY Orange County SC
1.50 xG 0.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
523 Passes 416
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterey Bay and Orange County SC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Monterey Bay at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 55% of the ball to Orange County SC's 45%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.50 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.00 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

Monterey Bay 0-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 44%, draw 28%, Orange County SC 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monterey Bay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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