FC Tulsa 1-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.37/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.43
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
14.9 Crosses 21.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
229 Passes 282
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
14.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
29.08.2019 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
26.05.2019 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
01.07.2018 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
06.05.2018 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
1-1
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.19 xG 0.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
245 Passes 420
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa and Las Vegas Lights shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 39% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 61%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Tulsa and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?

FC Tulsa 1-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 33%, draw 28%, Las Vegas Lights 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) ✓ Under 2.5
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