Birmingham Legion 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.01/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.44
-39% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
14.9 Crosses 18.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 399
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
09.05.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 6-4 HT 3-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion ABDK
22.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-3 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
16.07.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
02.04.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
24.09.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
2-0
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.66 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 11
342 Passes 346
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 43
12 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion beat Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 49% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 51%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.66 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.17 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Birmingham Legion 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 31%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 46%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Over 2.5
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