Louisville City 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Oct 2024

Louisville City
2-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Louisville City v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.48/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.22
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.3 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
347 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-2 HT 2-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
15.10.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 2-3 HT 1-3 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
10.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
06.11.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
14.08.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
06.06.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City nicked a narrow win over Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Louisville City and 1.50 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Louisville City 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 48%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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