FC Tulsa 1-1 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.44/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
+7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
15.0 Crosses 15.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
327 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 3-3 HT 1-3 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
27.08.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
14.07.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 0-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
13.10.2019 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 2-1 HT 1-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
21.03.2019 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa and New Mexico United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for FC Tulsa and 2.00 for New Mexico United.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?

FC Tulsa 1-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 36%, draw 29%, New Mexico United 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5
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