New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-2
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 2-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
New Mexico United 3-3 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United and FC Tulsa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 63% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 37%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.25 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for New Mexico United and 1.25 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
New Mexico United 3-3 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 48%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.