New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
New Mexico United 3-3 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United and FC Tulsa shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had New Mexico United at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (57%) landed.
On the day, New Mexico United had 63% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 37%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.25 to 0.88.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for New Mexico United and 1.25 for FC Tulsa.
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 3 - 3 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 61%, draw 22%, FC Tulsa 17%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New Mexico United) went the other way.