Miami FC 1-5 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Aug 2024

📅15/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.17/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.93
+14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +136%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
13.8 Crosses 13.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Memphis 901
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.99 xG 1.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
249 Passes 432
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 5-1 HT 3-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
02.04.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
02.10.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
01.05.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-2 HT 0-2 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
12.09.2021 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
1-5
AWAY Memphis 901
1.01 xG 2.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 swept aside Miami FC 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Memphis 901 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Miami FC had 45% of the ball to Memphis 901's 55%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.01 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Miami FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Miami FC and 1.40 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Memphis 901?

Miami FC 1-5 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated an Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 33%, draw 24%, Memphis 901 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Memphis 901), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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