Sacramento Republic 2-0 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 15 Aug 2024

Sacramento Republic
2-0 HT 1-0
El Paso Locomotive
📅15/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
USL Championship – 2024

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.2pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sacramento Republic v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.47/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.60
-28% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.4 Crosses 12.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.34
42% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
12.03.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
19.05.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
13.03.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-1 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
12.09.2021 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-0 HT 1-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
03.11.2019 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-0 HT 1-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP

Sacramento Republic 2-0 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
2-0
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
2.22 xG 0.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
237 Passes 348
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic beat El Paso Locomotive 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sacramento Republic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sacramento Republic had 44% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 56%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.22 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.17 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Sacramento Republic 2-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 15/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 46%, draw 29%, El Paso Locomotive 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
15 Aug 2024
02:00 Miami FC vs Memphis 901 Analysis →
04:00 New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa Analysis →