Memphis 901 0-0 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
+19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.8 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
299 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
16.07.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 and Sacramento Republic played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Memphis 901 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Memphis 901 and 1.00 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs Sacramento Republic?

Memphis 901 0-0 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 42%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Memphis 901) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✓ BTTS No
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