Colorado Springs 1-2 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Oct 2024

Colorado Springs
1-2
San Antonio
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Colorado Springs vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colorado Springs v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.65/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.16
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.4 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Colorado Springs vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
0W-1D-5L
AWAY San Antonio
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 162
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.03.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
22.10.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
10.09.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
26.03.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
07.11.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
21.09.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 1-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Antonio squeezed past Colorado Springs 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Springs at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.33 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs San Antonio?

Colorado Springs 1-2 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 51%, draw 28%, San Antonio 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ BTTS No
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