Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Union La Calera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.52
Over 2.5
31%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.4
No
68%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+8.0pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.7pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
38%
-5.9pp
68%
BTTS No
62%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 27%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.54/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.07
-51% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.0 Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coquimbo Unido
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union La Calera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
261 Passes 323
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Union La Calera Union La Calera 0-1 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
03.11.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 1-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
02.12.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-2 HT 1-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
14.05.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
01.10.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-0 HT 2-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coquimbo Unido
2-1
AWAY Union La Calera
0.44 xG 0.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
269 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido nicked a narrow win over Union La Calera 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coquimbo Unido as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coquimbo Unido had 49% of the ball to Union La Calera's 51%, shots finished 10-3, expected goals 0.44 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coquimbo Unido and 1.00 for Union La Calera.

What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?

Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Union La Calera in the Chile - Cup on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coquimbo Unido vs Union La Calera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coquimbo Unido win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Coquimbo Unido 53%, draw 28%, Union La Calera 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coquimbo Unido) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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