Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.53
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
2.18/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.38
+50% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
23.0 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
258 Passes 381
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
08.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
10.11.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
21.07.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
07.10.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
05.08.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
0-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.19 xG 0.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
489 Passes 233
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Goianiense squeezed past Atletico Paranaense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Paranaense at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 64% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 36%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Paranaense.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 0.83 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 50%, draw 24%, Atletico Goianiense 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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