Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
12%
3.93
X/2
8%
10.65
X/X
8%
4.97
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
12%
8.53
2/X
9%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.62/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.38
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.9 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
10.11.2022 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
21.07.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
07.10.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
05.08.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
28.07.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.01 xG 1.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 9
226 Passes 429
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense saw off Atletico Goianiense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 37% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 63%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 2.01 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 49%, draw 25%, Atletico Goianiense 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
20 Nov 2024
17:00 Corinthians vs Cruzeiro Analysis →
22:30 Criciuma vs Vitoria Analysis →
22:30 Bragantino vs Sao Paulo Analysis →