Criciuma 0-1 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Nov 2024

Criciuma
0-1 HT 0-0
Vitoria
📅20/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Criciuma vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
10%
4.49
X/2
7%
7.0
X/X
13%
4.12
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
17%
5.54
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.77
-5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +88%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.6 Crosses 16.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.5

Criciuma vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vitoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 339
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 2-1 HT 2-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
09.10.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
12.06.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
16.10.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
20.07.2019 Vitoria Vitoria 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
09.09.2015 Criciuma Criciuma 2-3 HT 0-2 Vitoria Vitoria BR2

Criciuma 0-1 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
0-1
AWAY Vitoria
0.88 xG 1.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 Passes 373
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria nicked a narrow win over Criciuma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vitoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Criciuma had 49% of the ball to Vitoria's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.88 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Criciuma and 1.33 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Vitoria?

Criciuma 0-1 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 40%, draw 29%, Vitoria 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Criciuma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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