Gold Coast Knights 0-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.86
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+6.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 31%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.45/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.64
-74% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 12.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.37 xG 0.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 Passes 166
76% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
05.04.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 4-2 HT 4-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
21.07.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
22.04.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
17.08.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
29.07.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II edged past Gold Coast Knights 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gold Coast Knights at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II?

Gold Coast Knights 0-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 56%, draw 18%, Brisbane Roar II 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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