TPS Turku 4-1 Klubi-04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.71
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.39
6+ Goals
17%
4.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Klubi-04 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.26
-14% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Klubi-04
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2025 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 3-1 HT 1-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
19.09.2021 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 2-4 HT 1-2 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
01.07.2021 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİN2
20.01.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 Klubi-04 Klubi-04 FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
4-1
AWAY Klubi-04
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH TPS Turku vs Klubi-04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku swept aside Klubi-04 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; TPS Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, TPS Turku had 46% of the ball to Klubi-04's 54%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Klubi-04 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for TPS Turku and 1.75 for Klubi-04.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs Klubi-04?

TPS Turku 4-1 Klubi-04 in the Finland - Ykkönen on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs Klubi-04?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 40%, draw 25%, Klubi-04 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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