KaPa 1-1 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.54
2-3 Goals
33%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 55%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.18/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.86
+0% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
0W-1D-3L
AWAY PK-35 ry
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 4-0 HT 2-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
22.09.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
31.05.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-1 HT 0-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
13.04.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 3-0 HT 1-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
1-1
AWAY PK-35 ry
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KaPa vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa and PK-35 ry couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was PK-35 ry at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KaPa had 43% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 57%, shots finished 19-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, PK-35 ry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for KaPa and 2.25 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

KaPa 1-1 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated an PK-35 ry win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split KaPa 27%, draw 24%, PK-35 ry 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PK-35 ry), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PK-35 ry) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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