Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Jul 2025

📅09/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 2.44
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 424
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
28.05.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-2 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
12.05.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 6-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
29.10.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
22.05.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.08.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-0
AWAY FC Sochi
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod edged past FC Sochi 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pari Nizhny Novgorod had 45% of the ball to FC Sochi's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 2.00 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 FC Sochi in the Friendlies on 09/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 34%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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