Mondorf 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 35% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mondorf EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mondorf
1-2
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mondorf vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Mondorf 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Mondorf vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Mondorf 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mondorf vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mondorf 31%, draw 25%, Dinamo Tbilisi 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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