Petrovac 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrovac EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrovac
1-3
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Petrovac vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius beat Petrovac 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Petrovac vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Petrovac 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrovac vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Petrovac 34%, draw 23%, Zalgiris Vilnius 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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