CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Sofia v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
CSKA Sofia
AVL
1-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
AVL
CSKA Sofia 3-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Sofia edged past Derry City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, shots finished 17-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.50 for Derry City.
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Derry City?
CSKA Sofia 3-2 Derry City in the UEFA Europa League on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 71%, draw 17%, Derry City 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.