Karabağ 3-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 9 Jul 2026

Karabağ
3-0 HT 2-0
Vestri
📅09/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2026/2027

Karabağ vs Vestri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.67
No
47%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.08
2-3 Goals
38%
2.31
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-14.9pp
15%
Draw
8%
+6.2pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
33%
+19.5pp
47%
BTTS No
67%
-19.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karabağ v Vestri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
476 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.8 Crosses –
0.4 Yellow Cards –

Karabağ 3-0 Vestri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karabağ
3-0
AWAY Vestri
19 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ ran out comfortable winners over Vestri 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 19-1.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Vestri?

Karabağ 3-0 Vestri in the UEFA Europa League on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 70%, draw 15%, Vestri 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVL More UEFA Europa League
9 Jul 2026
20:00 Dynamo Kiev vs Universitatea Cluj Analysis →
20:00 FC Sheriff vs Aluminij Analysis →
21:00 Vojvodina vs Ferencvaros Analysis →
21:00 CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Analysis →
21:00 Hajduk Split vs Zilina Analysis →