Rochester 1-3 St. Croix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 9 Jul 2026

📅09/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.9pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.2pp
60%
Away Win
63%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.3pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochester EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Croix EU Bookmakers 67%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-100% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -73%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochester
3W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Croix
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.07.2025 Rochester Rochester 5-0 HT 0-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
13.06.2025 St. Croix St. Croix 2-3 HT 0-0 Rochester Rochester USL2
27.06.2024 St. Croix St. Croix 1-3 HT 0-2 Rochester Rochester USL2
POST-MATCH Rochester vs St. Croix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Croix got the better of Rochester 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Croix as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochester had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Rochester and 1.00 for St. Croix.

What was the final score of Rochester vs St. Croix?

Rochester 1-3 St. Croix in the USA - USL League 2 on 09/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochester vs St. Croix?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Croix win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rochester 23%, draw 17%, St. Croix 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Croix), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Croix) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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