Kaiserslautern 2-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Aug 2024

Kaiserslautern
2-2 HT 1-2
Greuther Fürth
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.85 — our 27% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.61
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
13%
4.82
X/2
8%
7.56
X/X
16%
5.59
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.43/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.58
+21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.8 Crosses 16.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.09 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
04.11.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
25.02.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
21.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-3 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
10.03.2018 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
29.09.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Kaiserslautern 2-2 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
2-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.40 xG 2.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
392 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 23
31 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern and Greuther Fürth couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kaiserslautern at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 57% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.40 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.33 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Fürth?

Kaiserslautern 2-2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 44%, draw 27%, Greuther Fürth 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kaiserslautern) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5
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