Amstetten 1-0 Stripfing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
9%
7.49
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
20%
4.91
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stripfing EU Bookmakers 31%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.21/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.31
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
20.0 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stripfing
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2024 Stripfing Stripfing 0-2 HT 0-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
18.08.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-1 HT 0-0 Stripfing Stripfing AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
1-0
AWAY Stripfing
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs Stripfing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amstetten squeezed past Stripfing 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Amstetten made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amstetten had 43% of the ball to Stripfing's 57%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amstetten had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amstetten and 0.50 for Stripfing.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs Stripfing?

Amstetten 1-0 Stripfing in the Austria - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs Stripfing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 41%, draw 23%, Stripfing 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amstetten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amstetten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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