Kapfenberger SV 3-1 Floridsdorfer AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.82
Over 2.5
59%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.7
6+ Goals
15%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.93
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
10%
6.69
X/2
12%
4.62
X/X
7%
4.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.94
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
51%
-10.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
49%
+10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
1.11/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.95
-16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.2 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapfenberger SV
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Floridsdorfer AC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
04.08.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
04.06.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-3 HT 0-1 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AU2
14.10.2022 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
30.08.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-0 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC AUK
15.03.2022 Floridsdorfer AC Floridsdorfer AC 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Kapfenberger SV vs Floridsdorfer AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV got the better of Floridsdorfer AC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Floridsdorfer AC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floridsdorfer AC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kapfenberger SV and 1.67 for Floridsdorfer AC.

What was the final score of Kapfenberger SV vs Floridsdorfer AC?

Kapfenberger SV 3-1 Floridsdorfer AC in the Austria - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapfenberger SV vs Floridsdorfer AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floridsdorfer AC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kapfenberger SV 26%, draw 25%, Floridsdorfer AC 49%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floridsdorfer AC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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