Lafnitz 4-5 FC Liefering — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

Lafnitz
4-5 HT 1-4
FC Liefering
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lafnitz vs FC Liefering Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.43
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.39
1/2
6%
20.05
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
9%
8.39
X/2
16%
4.53
X/X
13%
6.23
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.32
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.65
Value flag · 2/X at 13.65 — our 9% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lafnitz v FC Liefering — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.93/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.31
+52% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
22.0 Crosses 21.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Lafnitz vs FC Liefering Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Liefering
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.26 xG 2.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 264
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-6 HT 0-4 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
19.05.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 3-1 HT 0-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
15.10.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
18.04.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
02.10.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-3 HT 1-2 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
10.04.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-4 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs FC Liefering
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering squeezed past Lafnitz 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Liefering led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lafnitz and 3.33 for FC Liefering.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs FC Liefering?

Lafnitz 4-5 FC Liefering in the Austria - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs FC Liefering?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 27%, draw 28%, FC Liefering 45%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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