Dandenong City 5-3 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.9pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.87/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.87
-6% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong City
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Port Melbourne
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.17 xG 1.39
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
202 Passes 421
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.07.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.04.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
21.05.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong City vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong City got the better of Port Melbourne 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dandenong City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Port Melbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Dandenong City and 1.75 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Dandenong City vs Port Melbourne?

Dandenong City 5-3 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong City vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dandenong City 45%, draw 25%, Port Melbourne 30%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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