Manly United 1-2 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 66%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.13/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.92
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +53%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 19.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY St George City FA
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.06 xG 1.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
272 Passes 372
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 3-1 HT 1-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
24.06.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 1-1 HT 0-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
11.03.2023 Manly United Manly United 2-0 HT 1-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA edged past Manly United 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Manly United and 1.33 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Manly United vs St George City FA?

Manly United 1-2 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated an St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Manly United 18%, draw 27%, St George City FA 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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