St George City FA 3-1 Manly United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Manly United EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.56
+46% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Manly United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 2.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
372 Passes 272
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 1-1 HT 0-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
11.03.2023 Manly United Manly United 2-0 HT 1-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Manly United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA saw off Manly United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manly United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St George City FA and 1.50 for Manly United.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Manly United?

St George City FA 3-1 Manly United in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Manly United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 47%, draw 27%, Manly United 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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