Nykobing 1-0 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.2pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 60%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.26
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Akademisk BK
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
26.04.2024 Nykobing Nykobing 0-1 HT 0-1 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
28.03.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-3 HT 0-2 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
05.08.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
15.05.2021 Nykobing Nykobing 3-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
08.11.2020 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-6 HT 0-4 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
1-0
AWAY Akademisk BK
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing squeezed past Akademisk BK 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Akademisk BK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nykobing had 38% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 62%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nykobing and 0.83 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Akademisk BK?

Nykobing 1-0 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 27%, draw 28%, Akademisk BK 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
9 Aug 2024
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