Tallinna Kalev 0-3 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 31%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +22%
1.85/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.11
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
29.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
08.07.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.04.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-3
AWAY FC Kuressaare
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare swept aside Tallinna Kalev 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tallinna Kalev at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 60% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 40%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.17 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare?

Tallinna Kalev 0-3 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 47%, draw 24%, FC Kuressaare 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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