Neptüna Klaipeda 4-3 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
75%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
15%
+6.8pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
2.29/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.42
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-0 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
06.09.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-2 HT 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
16.04.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-0 HT 0-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
12.08.2022 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 1-2 HT 0-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
03.04.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-2 HT 0-2 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
4-3
AWAY Panevezys II
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda nicked a narrow win over Panevezys II 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 56% of the ball to Panevezys II's 44%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Panevezys II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 1.00 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Panevezys II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 4-3 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 61%, draw 22%, Panevezys II 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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