Babrungas 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 14%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
2.70/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.48
+27% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
31.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
14.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas saw off Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Babrungas and 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Babrungas 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 62%, draw 20%, Kauno Zalgiris II 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
9 Aug 2024
18:00 Be1 NFA vs FK BANGA II Analysis →
18:30 Tauras Taurage vs Ekranas Analysis →
19:00 Garliava vs BFA Analysis →
19:00 Neptüna Klaipeda vs Panevezys II Analysis →