Bedford Town 2-2 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Aug 2025

Bedford Town
2-2 HT 1-1
Alfreton Town
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Bedford Town vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bedford Town v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Bedford Town 2-2 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
2-2
AWAY Alfreton Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bedford Town had 42% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 58%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Alfreton Town?

Bedford Town 2-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 37%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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