Worthing 1-1 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.97/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.41
+21% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bath City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Worthing Worthing 2-1 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
29.10.2024 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
24.03.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
28.10.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
14.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City FAK
11.03.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-1
AWAY Bath City
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing and Bath City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Worthing at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Worthing had 52% of the ball to Bath City's 48%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Worthing and 1.00 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Bath City?

Worthing 1-1 Bath City in the England - Conference on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Worthing 47%, draw 26%, Bath City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Worthing), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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