Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 35% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.55/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
217 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
26.10.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
10.02.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.08.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.04.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
14.08.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1-1
AWAY Maidstone United
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town and Maidstone United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 51% of the ball to Maidstone United's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.83 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone United?

Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 27%, draw 27%, Maidstone United 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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