Chelmsford City 1-0 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-0
AWAY Horsham
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City edged past Horsham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 56% of the ball to Horsham's 44%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Horsham?

Chelmsford City 1-0 Horsham in the England - Conference on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 45%, draw 28%, Horsham 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
9 Aug 2025
17:00 Macclesfield vs Worksop Town Analysis →
17:00 Chippenham Town vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Slough Town Analysis →
17:00 Worthing vs Bath City Analysis →
17:00 Dover Athletic vs AFC Totton Analysis →
17:00 Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidstone United Analysis →