Maidstone United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 33% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.67/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.77
-6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
26.08.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
23.04.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-4 HT 0-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
14.08.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-2 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
17.10.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 4-1 HT 3-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
14.01.2020 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 0-1 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Maidstone United and 1.00 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Maidstone United 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 49%, draw 26%, Hemel Hempstead Town 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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