Worthing 2-1 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.18
6+ Goals
7%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 34% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.74/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.54
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bath City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
24.03.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
28.10.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
14.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City FAK
11.03.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
29.12.2022 Bath City Bath City 2-2 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-1
AWAY Bath City
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Bath City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worthing had 51% of the ball to Bath City's 49%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Worthing and 1.17 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Bath City?

Worthing 2-1 Bath City in the England - Conference on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Worthing 48%, draw 25%, Bath City 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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