Southport 0-2 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Mar 2025

Southport
0-2 HT 0-1
Leamington
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Southport vs Leamington Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southport v Leamington — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southport EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.35/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.37
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Southport vs Leamington Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southport
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leamington
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
29.04.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 1-1 Southport Southport İCON
24.09.2022 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
12.04.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
20.11.2021 Leamington Leamington 1-1 HT 1-1 Southport Southport İCON
22.02.2020 Leamington Leamington 1-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON

Southport 0-2 Leamington — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southport
0-2
AWAY Leamington
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southport vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington got the better of Southport 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Leamington found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Southport had 61% of the ball to Leamington's 39%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leamington led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Southport and 1.33 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Southport vs Leamington?

Southport 0-2 Leamington in the England - Conference on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southport vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 40%, draw 28%, Leamington 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Southport) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southport) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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