Leamington 3-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
7%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 35% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.51/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.24
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southport
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2023 Leamington Leamington 2-1 HT 1-1 Southport Southport İCON
24.09.2022 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
12.04.2022 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
20.11.2021 Leamington Leamington 1-1 HT 1-1 Southport Southport İCON
22.02.2020 Leamington Leamington 1-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
02.11.2019 Southport Southport 4-1 HT 2-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
3-0
AWAY Southport
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington swept aside Southport 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Leamington found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Leamington had 53% of the ball to Southport's 47%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leamington and 1.33 for Southport.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Southport?

Leamington 3-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leamington win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leamington 38%, draw 28%, Southport 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leamington), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leamington) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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