04/03/2025
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02
— our 27% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
27%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
26%
54%
Under 2.5
51%
46%
Over 2.5
49%
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
50%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farnborough v AFC Hornchurch — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Farnborough
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
AFC Hornchurch
EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
1.53/1.22
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.31/1.27
+2%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+15%
/
+17%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
370 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Farnborough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
AFC Hornchurch
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Target
9
7
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AFC Hornchurch edged past Farnborough 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch?
Farnborough 0-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 43%, draw 27%, AFC Hornchurch 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Farnborough)
✓ Under 2.5
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İCON
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4 Mar 2025