Chippenham Town 1-3 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Mar 2025

📅04/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.40/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.49
+14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Torquay United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 3-0 HT 3-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
23.01.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
15.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
20.12.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 3-2 HT 1-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-3
AWAY Torquay United
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United got the better of Chippenham Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 62% of the ball to Torquay United's 38%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chippenham Town and 2.25 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Torquay United?

Chippenham Town 1-3 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 34%, draw 28%, Torquay United 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
4 Mar 2025
22:45 Spennymoor Town vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
22:45 Southport vs Leamington Analysis →
22:45 Radcliffe Borough vs South Shields Analysis →
22:45 Truro City vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
22:45 Worthing vs Bath City Analysis →
22:45 Farnborough vs AFC Hornchurch Analysis →