Torquay United 3-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +25%
2.08/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.11
+17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
400 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippenham Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
15.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
20.12.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 3-2 HT 1-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
3-0
AWAY Chippenham Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United cruised past Chippenham Town 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Torquay United had 50% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 50%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torquay United and 1.33 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Chippenham Town?

Torquay United 3-0 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 44%, draw 27%, Chippenham Town 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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