Brackley Town 0-2 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.56
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.51/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.31
-1% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Chorley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
27.02.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
05.08.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
11.02.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
03.09.2022 Chorley Chorley 0-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
22.01.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
0-2
AWAY Chorley
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley beat Brackley Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Brackley Town had 52% of the ball to Chorley's 48%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brackley Town and 0.33 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Chorley?

Brackley Town 0-2 Chorley in the England - Conference on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 42%, draw 31%, Chorley 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brackley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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